CLIMATE CHANGE BOWTIE ANALYSIS

A.Roca, R.Pestana, J.Nosas, N.Mertens, G.Martínez, H.Cano, M.Fernández, M.Constantí

1.     INTRODUCTION

Currently, the impacts generated by climate change are already noticeable in our environment. Sea level rise and intensification of extreme weather events, such as storms and hurricanes, are some examples of these manifestations that are already noticeable. Climate change is a reality that is causing serious consequences and unless we take action to prevent and/or mitigate its impacts, it will only intensify.

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the main causes and consequences of climate change, focusing on the identification of prevention and mitigation barriers that could/should be applied by the society  (i.e. citizens, businesses and governments) to avoid and/or mitigate the consequences of climate change.

In order to carry out this analysis the BowTie methodology has been applied. This methodology allows the thorough discussion and identification of risks in the form of a diagram, from their causes to their consequences, resulting in a very powerful tool for risks’ communication and management. With it, it is possible to consider all types of risks at all its levels (more generic at the corporate level or more specific at the operational, departmental level…). Furthermore, it allows the analysis of any vector, e.g. safety and health, environmental, financial, strategy and planning, operational and infrastructure or reputation.

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